8:45

Opening session: Marek Rocki (Rector of SGH Warsaw School of Economics)                    Aula I

 

 

9:00 – 10:30

 

20min (presentation) + 5 min (discussant)

+ 5 min (Q&A)

 

Session 1: Econometric methods in finance, Chair: Michał Rubaszek (SGH Warsaw School of Economics)

Aula I

 

Presentation: Jérémy Leymarie (University of Orleans) “Backtesting Marginal Expected Shortfall and Related Systemic Risk Measures”

Discussion: Katarzyna Bień-Barkowska (SGH Warsaw School of Economics)

 

Presentation: Raffaella Giacomini and Toru Kitagawa (University College London), Alessio Volpicella (Queen Mary University of London) “Uncertain Identification”

Discussion: Dobromił Serwa (SGH Warsaw School of Economics)

 

Presentation: Taufiq Choudhry (University of Southampton), Yuanyuan Zhang (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu)  “Forecasting the Daily Time-Varying European Banks Beta during the Crisis Period: Comparison between GARCH models and Kalman Filter”

Discussion: Fabio Calonaci (Queen Mary University of London)

 

 

10:30 – 11:00

Coffee break

 

 

11:00 – 13:00

 

20min (presentation) + 5 min (discussant)

+ 5 min (Q&A)

 

Session 2A Aula I: Financial spillovers & risk, Chair: Yuthana Sethapramote (National Institute of Development Administration, Bangkok) 

 

Presentation: Fabio Calonaci (Queen Mary University of London) “Forecasting Asset Market Volatility: ‘the HAR model with Jump and Leverage components”

Discussion: Mikhail Stolbov (MGIMO-University Moscow)

 

 

Presentation: Mikhail Stolbov (MGIMO-University), Maria Shchepeleva (Bank of Russia) "Financial stress in emerging markets: patterns, real effects, and cross-country spillovers"

Discussion: Yuthana Sethapramote (National Institute of Development Administration, Bangkok)

 

Presentation: Yuthana Sethapramote (National Institute of Development Administration, Bangkok), Suthawan Prukumpai (Kasetsart University, Bangkok) and Tiwa Kanyamee (National Institute of Development Administration, Bangkok) “Evaluation of Value-at-Risk Estimation using Long Memory Volatility Models: Evidence from Stock Exchange of Thailand”

Discussion: Jérémy Leymarie (University of Orleans)

 

Presentation: Michał Chojnowski, Piotr Dybka (SGH Warsaw School of Economics) "IS EXCHANGE RATE MOODY? ESTIMATING THE INFLUENCE OF MARKET SENTIMENTS WITH GOOGLE TRENDS"

 

Session 2B Room 1B: Lending & funding, Chair: Sylwester Kozak  (Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGW)

 

Presentation: Marco Botta, Luca Colombo (Universita Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Milano) “Macroeconomic and institutional determinants of capital structure decisions”

Discussion: Oskar Krzesicki (Narodowy Bank Polski)

 

 

Presentation: Oskar Krzesicki, Krzysztof Gajewski (Narodowy Bank Polski) “International Banking and Cross-border effects of regulation”

Discussion: Oleksandr Talavera (University of Sheffield)

 

 

Presentation: Tho Pham, Oleksandr Talavera, Junhong Yang (University of Sheffield)  “Multimarket Competition and Profitability: Evidence from Ukrainian banking”

Discussion: Małgorzata Pawłowska (Warsaw School of Economics)

 

 

 

 

Presentation: Małgorzata Pawłowska (Warsaw School of Economics) “The Role of Market Structure and Competitive Framework for Sound Banking Sector in EU”

Discussion: Marco Botta (Universita Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Milano)

 

Session 2C Aula II: Asset pricing, Chair: Gerardo Hernandez-del-Valle (Banco de Mexico)

 

 

Presentation: Michał Rubaszek (SGH Warsaw School of Economics) “Forecasting the Yield Curve With Macroeconomic Variables”

 

 

 

 

Presentation: Enrique Covarrubias, Gerardo Hernandez-del-Valle (Banco de Mexico) “Inflation expectations derived from a portfolio model”

Discussion: ANMAR AL WAKIL (University of Paris-Dauphine)

 

 

Presentation: ANMAR AL WAKIL (University of Paris-Dauphine) “The Smart Vega Factor-Based Investing: Disentangling Risk Premia from Implied Volatility Smirk”

Discussion: Gerardo Hernandez-del-Valle (Banco de Mexico)

 

 

 

 

Presentation: Tomasz Piotr Kasprowicz (University of Dąbrowa Górnicza), Andrzej Bednorz “THRESHOLD THEORY – MODELLING RISK ATTITUDE”

Discussion: Marek Kwas (Warsaw School of Economics)

 

13:00 – 13:45

Lunch break

 

13:45 – 14:30

 

Poster session Entresol, Chair: Sergii Kavun (Kharkiv Institute of Banking of the University of Banking)

 

Presentation: Onar Akkaya (University of Surrey) “Robust Nonparametric Quantile Estimation of Efficiency Change: EUROZONE Case

 

Presentation: Lidiya Guryanova, Tamara Klebanova, Tetiana Trunova (Simon Kuznets Kharkov National University of Economics) "Modeling the financial strategy of the enterprise in an unstable environment"

 

Presentation: Sergii Kavun (Kharkiv Institute of Banking of the University of Banking), Mihail Vorotintcev "METHODS OF ASSESSING OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ACTIVITY CREDIT RISK"

 

Presentation: Olha Zadorozhna, Bogna Gawrońska-Nowak (Lazarski University, Warsaw) "Home Bias: Evidence from the Stock Exchange"

 

Presentation: Thierno Thioune (UCAD-FASEG, Dakar) "Financial Instability and Dynamics of Inequality in WAEMU"

 

 

 

 

 

14:30 – 16:00

 

20 min (presentation) + 5 min (discussant)

+ 5 min (Q&A)

 

Session 3A Aula I: Trading strategies, Chair: Ken-ichi Tatsumi (Gakushuin University Tokyo)

 

Presentation: Pierre L. Siklos (Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo CAN), Martin T. Bohl and Claudia Wellenreuther (Westphalian Wilhelminian University of Münster) “The Speculative Component in Chinese Agricultural Commodity Futures”

Discussion: Barbara Będowska-Sójka (Poznań University of Economics)

 

Presentation: Tadaaki Komatsubara, Tatsuyoshi Okimoto, Ken-ichi Tatsumi (Gakushuin University Tokyo) "Dynamics of Integration in East Asian Equity Markets"

Discussion: Claudia Wellenreuther (Westphalian Wilhelminian University of Münster)

 

Presentation: Barbara Będowska-Sójka (Poznań University of Economics) "Beta estimation: The evidence from the Warsaw Stock Exchange"

Discussion: Taufiq Choudhry (University of Southampton)

 

Session 3B Room 1B: Credit risk, Chair: Pavel Gertler (National Bank of Slovakia)

 

Presentation: Konrad Kostrzewa, Tomasz Szabluk, Maciej Kowalczyk (SGH Warsaw School of Economics) “Modelling CDS spreads with copula-GARCH models”

 

 

 

 

Presentation: Pavel Gertler (National Bank of Slovakia), Boris Hofmann (Bank of International Settlements) “Monetary facts revisited”

Discussion: Sylwester Kozak (Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGW)

 

 

Presentation: Aleksandra Wójcicka (Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu) “Neural networks in credit risk evaluation of construction sector”

Discussion: Mariusz Górajski (University of Łódź)

Session 3C Aula II: Monetary policy effects, Chair: Thomas Nitschka (Swiss National Bank)

 

Presentation: Thomas Nitschka (Swiss National Bank) “Bond market evidence of time variation in exposures to global risk factors and the role of US monetary policy”

Discussion: Piotr Fiszeder (Nicolaus Copernicus University in Torun)

 

 

Presentation: Piotr Fiszeder, Ilona Pietryka (Nicolaus Copernicus University in Torun) “Monetary Policy in Steering the EONIA and POLONIA Rates in the Eurosystem and Poland — a Comparative Analysis”

Discussion: Gábor Dávid Kiss (University of Szeged)

 

 

Presentation: Gábor Dávid Kiss (University of Szeged) “Currency Stability and Unconventional Balance Sheet Practices – a Panel Approach”

Discussion: Thomas Nitschka (Swiss National Bank)

 

16:00 – 16:15

Coffee break

 

 

16:15 – 17:45

 

20min (presentation) + 5 min (discussant)

+ 5 min (Q&A)

Session 4 Aula I: Household finance, Chair: Piotr Wdowiński (University of Łódź)

 

Presentation: Margarita Arantes Salgueiro Carvalho (University of Minho) “Financialization, corporate governance and employee pay: a firm level analysis”

Discussion: Peter Eckley (Bank of England)

 

Presentation: Carlos Aller Arranz (University of Girona), Charles Grant (University of Brunel) “The Effect of Financial Crisis on Default by Spanish Households”

Discussion: Margarita Arantes Salgueiro Carvalho (University of Minho)

 

Presentation: Matteo Benetton, Peter Eckley (Bank of England), Nicola Garbarino, Liam Kirwin, Georgia Latsi, Paolo Siciliani Specialising in risky mortgages: the unintended consequences of Basel II”

Discussion: Charles Grant (University of Brunel)

 

 

17:45

Closing session          Aula I

 

 

Informal meeting

 

              *presenting person denoted in bold

 

Organizing Team

Scientific Committee

Zuzanna Wośko

Prof. Joanna Plebaniak, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Poland

Konrad Kostrzewa

Prof. Maria Podgórska, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Poland

Dobromił Serwa

Prof. Martin Bohl, University of Münster, Germany

 

Prof. Piotr Wdowiński, University of Łódź, Poland

 

Prof. Andreas Stephan, Jönköping International Business School, Sweden

 

Prof. Janusz Brzeszczyński, Northumbria University, Newcastle Business School, United Kingdom

 

 

 

Sponsor:   Collegium of Economic Analysis, Institute of Econometrics, SGH Warsaw School of Economics